The article asserts some facts:
- 3.5 million people without homes each year in America
- $10,000 per unit, on average, for the structures at Second Wind Cottages, a tiny-house village for the chronically homeless in the town of Newfield, NY, outside of Ithaca
- $200,000 per unit for a typical development for extremely low-income housing
- $10 million per year in costs of homelessness to taxpayers, in Austin, Texas
So, doing the math, to house everyone in America would cost (at a minimum):
$10,000 (10 * 10^3) per unit * 3.5 million (3.5 * 10^6) people
= $35 billion (35,000,000,000, or 35 * 10^9)
How much does that amount to, per-person, in America? As of this post, the Census population clock reports 317,592,620 Americans:
$35 billion / 317,592,620 AmericansThat seems to represent a ballpark figure of housing all the homeless in America...a one-time sunk cost for building out the infrastructure.
= $110.20 / American
Some huge caveats:
- $10,000 gets you the cost of building materials
- All construction labor donated by volunteers (hundreds? thousands?)
- In other locations:
- Costs, in some cases, offset with grants, government funding, and individual donations
- Architecture and design firms might need to contribute design services pro bono
- Supportive governments lease land to the housing for $1/year
- General concerns:
- Must work together with businesses and landowners to address impact on local businesses and homeowners
- "Unique legal zoning limitations and barriers that limit where tiny houses can be stationed."
It costs 20x as much (as the average case): $700 billion, instead--that leads to $700 billion / 317,592,620 Americans = $2204.08 / American
So, it seems like a one-time cost to house the 3.5 million homeless Americans would amount to somewhere between $110--$2,204 per American.
But--let's say not everyone wants to pay. What then?
Note: I use the following rough and arbitrary labels to gauge American participation rates (fill in left-wing, center-left, center-right, and right wing assignments to the percentages as you prefer)
- 100% participation
- 75% participation
- 50% participation
- 25% participation
- $10,000 units: $110-$441 per American (3.5 million homeless * $10,000 = $35 billion)
- 100% participation = $35 billion / 317,592,620 Americans = $110.20 / American
- 75% participation = $35 billion / 238,194,465 Americans = $146.94 / American
- 50% participation = $35 billion / 158,796,310 Americans = $220.41 / American
- 25% participation = $35 billion / 79,398,155 Americans = $440.82 / American
- $90,000 units: $970-$3879 per American (3.5 million homeless * $90,000 = $308 billion)
- 100% participation = $308 billion / 317,592,620 Americans = $969.80 / American
- 75% participation = $308 billion / 238,194,465 Americans = $1293.06 / American
- 50% participation = $308 billion / 158,796,310 Americans = $1939.59 / American
- 25% participation = $308 billion / 79,398,155 Americans = $3879.18 / American
- $200,000 units: $2204-$8816 per American (3.5 million homeless * $200,000 = $700 billion)
- 100% participation = $700 billion / 317,592,620 Americans = $2204.08 / American
- 75% participation = $700 billion / 238,194,465 Americans = $2938.78 / American
- 50% participation = $700 billion / 158,796,310 Americans = $4408.16 / American
- 25% participation = $700 billion / 79,398,155 Americans = $8816.33 / American
My opinion: when it comes down to brass tacks, the statistics in the table above show why homeless people still go without--I am guessing the number of people willing to actually contribute falls somewhere in the 25-50% range (if that), and, at an average cost of $200,000 per unit of housing, it would--at a minimum--cost the 25%-50% of Americans who care ~$4408-$8816 to accomplish. It is too much. Add in a 1% annual maintenance cost after the initial outlay, or $44.08-$88.16...worth it?
However--what if it only cost those Americans who care a one-time cost of $220-$441, plus a 1% annual maintenance cost of $2.20-$4.40? Now that represents an exciting, tractable change--almost NPR-contribution territory! Imagine this coupled with a united consensus to treat the problem.
Anyway, my question, answered. : o )
UPDATE: some additional notes, from comments at the article:
UPDATE: some additional notes, from comments at the article:
- "The majority of homeless people in the United States are disabled veterans and children and their mothers fleeing domestic violence" (they provide the following source)
- "minimum square footage laws"--apparently these limit housing options
- Frequent inspections? At least at first?
- The Hacker News post also has a ton of intelligent insights from various angles
No comments:
Post a Comment